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Activity Number: 478 - Advanced Data Analysis with Bayesian Latent Variable Modeling
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Thursday, August 6, 2020 : 10:00 AM to 2:00 PM
Sponsor: Section on Bayesian Statistical Science
Abstract #312378
Title: Analysis of Vole Data via a Bayesian Mixture Model
Author(s): Ori Rosen* and Noelle Samia and Osnat Stramer and Michael Bertolacci
Companies: Univ of Texas at El Paso and Northwestern University and University of Iowa and University of Wollongong
Keywords: Bayesian mixture; Grey-sided vole; Markov chain Monte Carlo
Abstract:

We develop a Bayesian mixture model for analyzing data on grey-sided voles derived from a monitoring program in Hokkaido, Japan. The number of voles caught at a given location and time is assumed to follow a binomial distribution that depends on the number of traps and probability of being trapped. This probability depends on a latent time series modeled as a mixture that accommodates covariates. Estimation and inference are performed using Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques.


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