Online Program Home
  My Program

All Times EDT

Abstract Details

Activity Number: 493 - Section on Risk Analysis CPapers 1
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Thursday, August 6, 2020 : 10:00 AM to 2:00 PM
Sponsor: Section on Risk Analysis
Abstract #311143
Title: Bayesian Sample Size Determination in Aquatic Toxicity Testing When Historical Data Are Available
Author(s): Jing Zhang* and A. John Bailer and Yunzhi Kong and Zheng Zhu and Byran JAY Smucker
Companies: Miami University and Miami University and Miami University and Miami University and Miami University (Ohio)
Keywords: Bayesian; Historical information; Power priors; Potency estimation; Sample size determination; Simulation
Abstract:

In an aquatic toxicity test, responses of interest are observed from testing organisms exposed to various concentration levels of the testing chemical and the adverse effect of the chemical on the responses are then evaluated and quantified as a function of the concentration levels via statistical analysis. Such aquatic toxicity test often utilizes experimental outcomes from a single experiment while it is common that the particular laboratory have a history of conducting such experiments using the same testing organism species, chemical and experimental protocols. The sample size determination (SSD) is a crucial aspect of the experimental design in such tests. Adopting the Bayesian perspective, we use a simulation-based Bayesian approach to determine the sample size needed in such tests with prior using the historical experimental outcomes.The proposed approach is illustrated for the experiments with three different biological endpoints of interest: survival (dichotomous response), fecundity (counts), and biomass/growth (continuous response).


Authors who are presenting talks have a * after their name.

Back to the full JSM 2020 program