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Activity Number: 77 - Contributed Poster Presentations: Biopharmaceutical Section
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Monday, August 3, 2020 : 10:00 AM to 2:00 PM
Sponsor: Biopharmaceutical Section
Abstract #311000
Title: A Bayesian Adaptive Phase I/II Clinical Trial Design with Late-Onset Competing Risk Outcomes
Author(s): YIFEI ZHANG* and YONG ZANG
Companies: and INDIANA UNIVERSITY
Keywords: Adaptive design; Competing risk; Late-onset; Phase I/II clinical trial; Targeted therapy
Abstract:

Early-phase dose-finding clinical trials are often subject to the issue of late-onset outcome. In phase I/II clinical trials the issue becomes more intractable because toxicity and efficacy can be competing-risk outcomes, and only the one that happens first is observable. In this paper, we propose a novel Bayesian adaptive phase I/II clinical trial design to address the issue of late-onset competing-risk outcomes. We use the continuation-ratio (CR) method to model the trinomial response outcome and the cause-specific hazard rate method for the competing-risk survival outcome. We treat the late-onset outcome as missing data and develop a Bayesian data augmentation method to impute the missing data from the observation. We also propose a dose-finding algorithm to allocate patients and identify the optimal biological dose (OBD) adaptively during the trial. Simulation studies show that the proposed design yields desirable operating characteristics.


Authors who are presenting talks have a * after their name.

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