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Activity Number: 10 - Agent-Based Models for Informing Public Policy: Applications and Statistical Challenges
Type: Invited
Date/Time: Monday, August 3, 2020 : 10:00 AM to 11:50 AM
Sponsor: Social Statistics Section
Abstract #309513
Title: Dimensionality Reduction for Stochastic Processes
Author(s): Vadim Sokolov and Nicholas Polson and Laura J. Schultz*
Companies: George Mason University and University of Chicago and George Mason University
Keywords:
Abstract:

Bayesian algorithms such as Markov Chain Monte Carlo or Bayesian optimization can quickly become computationally prohibitive or even infeasible for high dimensional problems. In many applications, however, the underlying dynamics of a stochastic process typically can be represented in a lower dimensional space. We will review existing linear and nonlinear dimensionality reduction methods, such as Laplacian eigenmaps and restricted Boltzmann machines. Further, we will present some new results for nonlinear dimensionality techniques based on deep learning models. We will demonstrate our approach in the context of Bayesian optimization algorithms applied to a stochastic process defined by a complex agent-based model. Finally, we discuss directions for future research.


Authors who are presenting talks have a * after their name.

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