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Activity Number: 420 - Highlights from "Bayesian Analysis": Bayesian Methods for the Public Good
Type: Invited
Date/Time: Thursday, August 6, 2020 : 10:00 AM to 11:50 AM
Sponsor: Section on Bayesian Statistical Science
Abstract #309226
Title: Bayesian Approaches to Infer Symptom Associations in Verbal Autopsies
Author(s): Zehang Richard Li*
Companies: Yale University
Keywords: dependent data; informative priors; cause of death
Abstract:

Learning dependence relationships among variables of mixed types provides insights in a variety of scientific settings and is a well-studied problem in statistics. Existing methods, however, typically rely on copious, high quality data to accurately learn associations. In this talk, we discuss methods for scientific settings where learning dependence structure is essential, but data are sparse and have a high fraction of missing values. Specifically, our work is motivated by survey-based cause of death assessments known as verbal autopsies (VAs). We propose Bayesian approaches to characterize dependence relationships that incorporates informative priors on the marginal distributions of the variables. We demonstrate such information can improve estimation of the dependence structure, especially in settings with little training data. We show that our method can be integrated into existing probabilistic cause-of-death assignment algorithms and improves model performance while recovering dependence patterns between symptoms that can inform efficient questionnaire design in future data collection.


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