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* = applied session ! = JSM meeting theme
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158 * !
Tue, 8/4/2020,
10:00 AM -
11:50 AM
Virtual
Statistical Demography — Topic Contributed Papers
Social Statistics Section , Government Statistics Section, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science
Organizer(s): Adrian Raftery, University of Washington
Chair(s): Adrian Raftery, University of Washington
10:05 AM
Scenario-Based Bayesian Probabilistic Projections of the Sex Ratio at Birth and Missing Female Births for All Countries and Country-Level Imbalances
Fengqing Chao, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology ; Patrick Gerland, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, United Nations; Alex Cook, National University of Singapore and National University Health System; Leontine Alkema, University of Massachussetts
10:25 AM
ACCOUNTING for SMOKING in FORECASTING MORTALITY and LIFE EXPECTANCY
Yicheng Li, University of Washington ; Adrian Raftery, University of Washington
10:45 AM
Detecting Disease Outbreak Using Travelers Data -- a Case Study of COVID-19 Epidemic
Le Bao, Penn State University ; Xiaoyue Maggie Niu, Penn State University; Ying Zhang, Penn State University
11:05 AM
Bayesian Demographic Accounts
Junni Zhang, Peking University ; John Bryant, Bayesian Demography Limited; Peter W. F. Smith, School of Economic, Social and Political Sciences, University of Southampton
11:25 AM
Floor Discussion