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Activity Number: 503 - Climate and Meteorological Statistics
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Thursday, August 6, 2020 : 10:00 AM to 2:00 PM
Sponsor: Section on Statistics and the Environment
Abstract #313540
Title: Bayesian Hierarchical Models for Statistical Downscaling of Climate Models
Author(s): Ayesha Kumari Ekanayaka Katugoda Gedara* and Emily Kang and Peter Kalmus and Amy Braverman
Companies: University of Cincinnati and University of Cincinnati and NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory and Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology
Keywords: Bayesian hierarchical modeling; Climate models; Downscaling; Massive data; spatio-temporal statistics
Abstract:

We propose a Bayesian Hierarchical Modeling framework to downscale output from multiple climate models using fine-resolution remote sensing data. The model possesses the capabilities of analyzing massive data and taking account of cross-climate-model variability and heterogeneous spatio-temporal dependence structures. Numerical results will be presented to demonstrate how ensembles of global climate models and high-resolution remote sensing datasets are synthesized in a principled way to produce fine-resolution downscaled sea surface temperature (SST) projections.


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