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Activity Number: 590 - Better Deciding Through Discretizing: The State of the Art in Uncertainty Visualization
Type: Invited
Date/Time: Thursday, August 1, 2019 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
Sponsor: Section on Statistical Graphics
Abstract #307979
Title: Cognitive Sources of Reasoning Errors with Uncertainty Visualization
Author(s): Lace R Padilla*
Companies: Northwestern University

We use data visualizations with uncertainty to make large-scale policy decisions, such as where to allocate resources before a natural disaster, and more personal life and death decisions, such as whether to evacuate before a forecasted hurricane. Unfortunately, reasoning with uncertainty is challenging for the average person and interpreting visualizations with uncertainty can be error-prone. In this talk, we will discuss common cognitive factors that lead to reasoning errors with visualizations of uncertainty. We will present a high-level overview of how the brain and eyes work together to translate visualizations into concrete information, and how this process can lead to errors with abstract concepts like uncertainty.

Authors who are presenting talks have a * after their name.

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