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Activity Number: 134 - Design of Experiments: Case Studies and Advancements
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Monday, July 29, 2019 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
Sponsor: Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences
Abstract #301838 Presentation
Title: A Nonlinear Regression and Experimental Design Approach for Nuclear Waste Glass Properties
Author(s): Bryan Stanfill* and Greg Piepel and Scott Cooley and Charmayne Lonergan and Jared Kroll and John Vienna
Companies: Pacific Northwest National Lab and PNNL and PNNL and PNNL and PNNL and PNNL
Keywords: mixture experiment; experimental design; nonlinear logistic regression; JMP; augmented designs
Abstract:

A goal of the Hanford Waste Treatment and Immobilization Plant is to make glass containing a significant fraction of nuclear waste while satisfying glass quality and processing property constraints. To do this, the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory and others have conducted years of research to quantify the property-composition relationships and glass quality prediction uncertainties. This talk describes how nonlinear logistic regression was used to predict if nepheline crystals would form based on historical glass composition data. The talk also explains how the nepheline-composition relationship was used to design an experiment focused on the most uncertain part of the composition region. Because the new experimental data was to be combined with historical data for the next phase of research, we chose an augmented space-filling design subject to several linear and non-linear constraints. However, there were no currently available methods or software to develop such a design, so we created a way to generate the design using existing capabilities in the analytical software JMP. Finally, we show how the initial regression performed on the new data and how it can be updated.


Authors who are presenting talks have a * after their name.

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