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Activity Number: 285 - Enhance Risk Assessment Through Novel Statistical Measures and Methods for Complex Time-to-Event Data
Type: Topic Contributed
Date/Time: Tuesday, August 1, 2017 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
Sponsor: Section on Risk Analysis
Abstract #324230
Title: Risk Screening for Alzheimer's Disease Progression with Volume Under the ROC Surface
Author(s): Yu Cheng*
Companies: University of Pittsburgh Department of Statistics
Keywords: Biomarker ; Competing Risk ; Diagnostic Accuracy ; Unifying Metric
Abstract:

This work aims to utilize the patient population of the Alzheimer Disease Research Center (ADRC), and to identify important risk factors and biomarkers for Alzheimer's Disease (AD) through novel statistical methods. To systematically evaluate all potential risk factors that are collected in the ADRC, we need a unifying metric that does not rely on any model assumptions. We utilize a recently developed methodology by our group, which explicitly evaluates the impact of a marker on multiple competing events simultaneously without any model assumption. This novel method is then used as a screening tool to rank the importance of all potential risk factors in ADRC. The theoretical properties of our screening method will be discussed. Its practical performance will be evaluated by simulations and the application of the ADRC to identify risk factors for AD progression.


Authors who are presenting talks have a * after their name.

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