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Activity Number: 177 - Contributed Poster Presentations: Section on Statistics in Sports
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Monday, July 31, 2017 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: Section on Statistics in Sports
Abstract #324128
Title: Ordinal Logistic Regression Model for the Masters Golf Tournament
Author(s): Erik Heiny* and Cody Frisby
Companies: Utah Valley University and Utah Valley University
Keywords: ordinal logistic regression ; masters ; golf ; simulation

An Ordinal Logistic Regression model with mixed effects was developed using hole-by-hole scores for players in the Masters golf tournament. Data was collected over a 13-year period using the PGA Tour's ShotLink data system. Simulations of the Masters using the OLR model produced probabilities of winning for each golfer, and are compared to Las Vegas odds.

Authors who are presenting talks have a * after their name.

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