Activity Number:
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151
- Enrichment Clinical Trials: Novel Designs, Statistical Inferences, and Case Studies
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Type:
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Topic Contributed
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Date/Time:
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Monday, July 31, 2017 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
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Sponsor:
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Biopharmaceutical Section
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Abstract #323935
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Title:
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Assessment of Utility of Total Kidney Volume for Trial Enrichment
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Author(s):
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John Lawrence*
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Companies:
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Keywords:
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chronic kidney disease ;
mixed effects models ;
renal disease ;
measurements errors ;
counting process
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Abstract:
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A consortium recently submitted an application to qualify Total Kidney Volume (TKV) as a biomarker for enriching trials of patients with Autosomal Dominant Polycystic Kidney Disease (ADPKD). TKV, in combination with patient age and baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), was qualified as a prognostic enrichment biomarker for ADPKD subjects at high risk for a progressive decline in renal function, defined as a confirmed 30% decline in eGFR. Risk scores can be derived from datasets to select patients to enrich future trials. The utility of this approach is discussed. We used a model from the historical datasets to define a risk score and applied it to a hypothetical trial. In the hypothetical trial, we simulated data according to a model that was fit to an independent dataset. We found the risk score may not select the higher risk patients very well. The R package SurvDisc can be used to try out different assumptions and enrichment criteria. This will be illustrated in the presentation.
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Authors who are presenting talks have a * after their name.
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