Spline Density Estimation and Inference with Model-Based Penalties

• Activity Number: 175 - Contributed Poster Presentations: Section on Statistical Learning and Data Science
• Type: Contributed
• Date/Time: Monday, July 31, 2017 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
• Sponsor: Section on Statistical Learning and Data Science
• Author(s): Jian Shi*
• Companies: University of California, Santa Barbara
• Keywords: L-spline ; Pearson family ; penalized likelihood ; Goodness-of- t test ; Generalization of the generalized inverse Gaussian family

Abstract

In this paper we propose model-based penalties for smoothing spline density estimation and inference. These model-based penalties incorporate indefinite prior knowledge that the density is close to, but not necessarily in a family of distributions. We will use the Pearson and generalization of the generalized inverse Gaussian families to illustrate the derivation of penalties and reproducing kernels. We also propose new inference procedures to test the hypothesis that the density belongs to a specific family of distributions. We conduct extensive simulations to show that the model-based penalties can substantially reduce both bias and variance in the decomposition of the Kullback-Leibler distance, and the new inference procedures are more powerful than some existing ones.