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Activity Number: 151 - Enrichment Clinical Trials: Novel Designs, Statistical Inferences, and Case Studies
Type: Topic Contributed
Date/Time: Monday, July 31, 2017 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: Biopharmaceutical Section
Abstract #323019 View Presentation
Title: Estimators and Confidence Intervals for Adaptive Two-Stage Designs for Population Enrichment
Author(s): Vladimir Dragalin* and Ionut Bebu
Companies: Janssen R&D and The George Washington University
Keywords: Adaptive design ; Population enrichment ; estimator ; confidence interval ; two-stage design ; personalized medicine
Abstract:

A conditional likelihood-based approach is proposed to construct confidence intervals for the parameters of interest in a two-stage design with the option of population enrichment after the first stage. Both a Wald confidence interval and a confidence interval based on inverting the likelihood ratio test are proposed. The operating characteristics of these confidence intervals: the coverage probabilities and average confidence interval lengths, as well as the average bias and mean-square error of the corresponding point estimates, compare favorably with other available techniques. Although conceptually simple, the new methods have a much wider scope than the methods currently available.


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