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Activity Number: 19 - Advances in Statistical Modeling and Inference for Phylodynamics and Molecular Epidemiology
Type: Topic Contributed
Date/Time: Sunday, July 30, 2017 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: Biometrics Section
Abstract #322671
Title: Adaptive MCMC in Bayesian Phylogenetics and Phylodynamics
Author(s): Guy Baele* and Philippe Lemey and Andrew Rambaut and Marc A. Suchard
Companies: KU Leuven and KU Leuven and University of Edinburgh and University of California, Los Angeles
Keywords: Phylogenetics ; Phylodynamics ; Adaptive MCMC ; Multivariate transition kernel ; Bayesian inference ; Markov chain Monte Carlo
Abstract:

Advances in sequencing technology continue to deliver increasingly large molecular sequence data sets that are often heavily partitioned in order to accurately model the underlying evolutionary processes. In phylogenetic analyses, partitioning strategies involve estimating conditionally independent models of molecular evolution for different genes and different positions within those genes, requiring a large number of evolutionary parameters to be estimated, leading to an increased computational burden for such analyses. The past two decades have also seen the rise of multi-core processors, both in the CPU and GPU processor markets, enabling massively parallel computations that are not yet fully exploited by many software packages for multipartite analyses. We propose a Markov chain Monte Carlo approach using an adaptive multivariate transition kernel to estimate in parallel a large number of parameters, split across partitioned data, by exploiting multi-core processing. We demonstrate that our approach enables the estimation of these multipartite parameters more efficiently than standard approaches that typically employ a mixture of univariate transition kernels.


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