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Activity Number: 386 - Estimands: What Is Essential Is Invisible to the Eye
Type: Invited
Date/Time: Tuesday, August 1, 2017 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: Biopharmaceutical Section
Abstract #322097
Title: Causal Estimands in Randomized Trials
Author(s): Miguel Hernan*
Companies: Harvard TH Chan School of Public Health
Keywords: randomized trials ; per-protocol effect
Abstract:

The primary analysis of most randomized trials estimates the intention-to-treat effect, that is, the effect of being assigned to the treatment strategies of interest. However, in many randomized trials, patients and doctors are more interested in the per-protocol effect, that is, the effect of receiving the assigned treatment strategies that are specified in the study protocol. Valid estimation of the per-protocol effect of sustained treatment strategies generally requires adjustment for pre- and post-randomization prognostic factors associated with adherence. Because post-randomization factors may be affected by prior treatment, conventional statistical methods for adjustment may introduce bias. In contrast, Robins's g-methods (inverse-probability weighting, g-estimation, and the parametric g-formula) can appropriately adjust for time-varying factors affected by treatment. This talk will discuss various methodological approaches to estimate the per-protocol effect of sustained treatment strategies in randomized trials.


Authors who are presenting talks have a * after their name.

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