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                            Activity Number:
                            
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                            310 
                            	- Advances and Novel Problems in Flexible Analysis of Clustered Data with Complex Structures
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                            Type:
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                            Invited
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                            Date/Time:
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                            Tuesday, August 1, 2017 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
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                            Sponsor:
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                            Section on Nonparametric Statistics
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                            Abstract #322016
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                            Title:
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                            Flexible Bayesian Additive Joint Models
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                        Author(s):
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                        Meike Köhler and Nikolaus Umlauf and Sonja Greven* 
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                        Companies:
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                        Helmholtz Zentrum München and Universität Innsbruck and Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München 
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                        Keywords:
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                            joint models  ; 
                            biomarkers ; 
                            longitudinal data ; 
                            time-to-event data ; 
                            P-splines ; 
                            anisotropic smoothing 
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                        Abstract:
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                            The joint modeling of longitudinal and time-to-event data is of growing importance to gain insights into the association between a longitudinal (bio)marker and an event process. We develop a general framework of flexible additive joint models that allows the specification of a variety of effects, such as smooth nonlinear, time-varying and random effects, in the longitudinal and survival parts of the models. Mean and variance of the longitudinal submodel as well as baseline hazard and potentially time-varying covariate and marker effects in the survival submodel can be specified using flexible additive predictors. By making use of Bayesian P-splines and functional random intercepts, we are in particular able to capture highly nonlinear subject-specific marker trajectories as well as a time-varying or non-linear association between the marker and the event process. The model is estimated within a Bayesian framework and implemented in the R-package bamlss.   
                         
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                    Authors who are presenting talks have a * after their name.