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Activity Number: 139
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Monday, August 1, 2016 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
Sponsor: Section on Bayesian Statistical Science
Abstract #320230
Title: Environmental Stressors, Health Outcomes, and Bayesian Regression Trees
Author(s): Gregory Watson* and Donatello Telesca
Companies: University of California at Los Angeles and University of California at Los Angeles
Keywords: Bayesian ; Spatial ; CART ; Nonparametric ; Tree ; MCMC
Abstract:

Inferring the health effects of environmental stressors is challenging on account of the excess zeroes, spatiotemporal dependence, nonlinear effects, interactions and variable selection problems typical of such data. Bayesian regression trees naturally account for nonlinear effects, interactions and variable selection while maintaining an interpretable inferential framework. Here they are coupled with a zero-inflated sampling model and random effects for space and time to model the health effects of environmental stressors.


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