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Activity Number: 223
Type: Invited
Date/Time: Monday, August 1, 2016 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: Section on Bayesian Statistical Science
Abstract #317987 View Presentation
Title: Bayesian Nonparametric Modeling and Inference for Mean Residual Life Functions
Author(s): Athanasios Kottas* and Valerie Poynor
Companies: University of California at Santa Cruz and California State University at Fullerton
Keywords: Bayesian nonparametrics ; Dependent Dirichlet process ; Dirichlet process mixtures ; Markov chain Monte Carlo ; Survival regression
Abstract:

The mean residual life function provides the expected remaining lifetime given survival up to a particular time. Owing to its ready interpretation and the fact that it characterizes the survival distribution, this functional is of direct interest in biomedical applications. We will present an approach to Bayesian inference for mean residual life functions built from a nonparametric mixture model for the associated survival distribution. We address the importance of careful kernel selection to ensure desirable properties for the mean residual life function arising from the mixture distribution. The practically relevant extension to inference for mean residual life functions in the presence of covariates will also be addressed. A feature of the proposed nonparametric regression models is that they achieve flexible shapes for the conditional survival distribution given the covariates while retaining structure in the implied prior model for the conditional mean residual life function. The methods will be illustrated with simulated and real data examples.


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