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Activity Number: 204
Type: Roundtables
Date/Time: Monday, August 10, 2015 : 12:30 PM to 1:50 PM
Sponsor: Section on Statistics in Sports
Abstract #317677
Title: Some Recent Work in Twenty20 Cricket
Author(s): Tim Swartz*
Companies: Simon Fraser University
Keywords: Bayesian estimation ; Relative value statistics ; Simulated annealing
Abstract:

This talk begins with an overview of the sport of cricket and makes analogies with baseball. A simulator for Twenty20 cricket is then proposed to investigate various problems related to the sport. In particular, we consider player evaluation, the determination of optimal team lineups, and the contribution of fielding. To enhance simulation, ball-by-ball data are used to develop an empirical Bayes procedure to infer batting and bowling characteristics of individual players. The characteristics take into account match situations (e.g., overs and wickets remaining). As a byproduct, various insights are obtained concerning Twenty20 strategy that do not appear to be widely recognized.


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