JSM 2015 Preliminary Program

Online Program Home
My Program

Abstract Details

Activity Number: 293
Type: Invited
Date/Time: Tuesday, August 11, 2015 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
Sponsor: Section on Risk Analysis
Abstract #314517 View Presentation
Title: A Primer on National Security Risk Analysis
Author(s): Samrat Chatterjee*
Companies: Pacific Northwest National Laboratory
Keywords: Homeland security ; Risk analysis ; Statistical modeling
Abstract:

The United States Department of Homeland Security (DHS) defines risk as the "potential for an adverse outcome assessed as a function of threats, vulnerabilities, and consequences associated with an incident, event, or occurrence." National security risk analyses are conducted across a spectrum of threats, such as nuclear terrorism to pandemic diseases. These analyses often rely on historical, simulation, or expert judgment data to quantify and model the elements of risk. This presentation will discuss DHS's definition of the elements of security risk, i.e. threat, vulnerability, and consequence. An overview of modeling approaches adopted for characterizing these risk components will be presented. This talk will also outline statistical methods typically used for assessing security risks.


Authors who are presenting talks have a * after their name.

Back to the full JSM 2015 program





For program information, contact the JSM Registration Department or phone (888) 231-3473.

For Professional Development information, contact the Education Department.

The views expressed here are those of the individual authors and not necessarily those of the JSM sponsors, their officers, or their staff.

2015 JSM Online Program Home