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490 * ! Wed, 8/6/2014, 10:30 AM - 12:20 PM CC-204B
Business Cycle Analysis and Forecasting — Topic Contributed Papers
Business and Economic Statistics Section
Organizer(s): Gian Luigi Mazzi, Eurostat
Chair(s): Baoline Chen, Bureau of Economic Analysis   
10:35 AM The Effects of Seasonal Adjustment Methods in Nonparametric Trend-Cycle Prediction Estella Dagum, University of Bologna ; Silvia Bianconcini, University of Bologna
10:55 AM The Reliability of Output-Gap Estimates in Real Time Elmar Mertens, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
11:15 AM New Parametric Synchronization Measures of Cyclical Fluctuation Gian Luigi Mazzi, Eurostat
11:35 AM A Bayesian Nonlinear Forecast Combination Method Kajal Lahiri, SUNY Albany ; Yang Liu, SUNY Albany
11:55 AM Discussant: Dominique Ladiray, INSEE
12:15 PM Floor Discussion



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