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CE_17C Mon, 8/4/2014, 8:30 AM - 5:00 PM CC-159
The Design and Analysis of Experiments That Use Computer Simulators — Professional Development Continuing Education Course
ASA , Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences
This course will provide attendees with a set a tools for designing and analyzing studies that use computer simulators as experimental vehicles. The use of computer simulators as experimental platforms has increased over the past 15 years in a wide range of engineering, technological, and biological disciplines. Their increased use is the result of the availibility of progressively more detailed first-principles descriptions of physical and biological systems and sophisticated numerical methods for solving such mathematical models. Simulators have the virtue that the experimenter can include not only ``control' inputs that can be set by the user but also inputs that describe uncontrollable, operating conditions of a system. The course will describe settings in which simulators are used alone as well as in combination with appropriate physical system data. The first part of the material will provide design and analysis tools for the initial, exploratory analysis of codes that allow the analyst to determine the sensitivity of simulator output to individual inputs, and to detect input variable interactions. It will also address the problem of using the output from a set of ``training' (input-output) runs to rapidly predict the simulator output at new input sites and to quantify the uncertainty of the prediction. The second part of the course provides tools to study more mature codes. Among the problems that will be discussed are the calibration of simulators to physical system output and the design of simulator experiments for specific research goals. The set of learning objectives given below provides a more detailed list of the topics to be covered. The course will be based on the second edition of the book, "The Design and Analysis of Computer Experiments" by Santner, Williams, and Notz.
Instructor(s): Thomas J. Santner, Ohio State University, Brian J. Williams, Los Alamos National Laboratory



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