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Activity Number: 32
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Sunday, August 3, 2014 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: Business and Economic Statistics Section
Abstract #313574 View Presentation
Title: Temporal Aggregation Effects on a Structural Mean-Change of Time Series
Author(s): Bu Hyoung Lee*+ and William W.S. Wei
Companies: Temple University and Temple University
Keywords: Temporal Aggregation ; Mean Change ; Likelihood Ratio Test ; Cumulative Sum Test
Abstract:

In this article we investigate the effects of temporal aggregation on a mean change of time series, through the two statistical tests-the likelihood ratio (LR) test and the cumulative sum (CUSUM) test to detect the mean change. We propose a modified LR test statistic when aggregate data are used for testing. Also we show that the CUSUM test statistic is free from the temporal aggregation effect. The Monte Carlo simulations verify the theoretical results.


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