Applying Survival Analyses Techniques to Educational Accountability

• Activity Number: 612
• Type: Contributed
• Date/Time: Thursday, August 7, 2014 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
• Sponsor: Section on Risk Analysis
• Author(s): Ji Zeng*+ and Joseph A. Martineau
• Companies: Michigan Department of Education and Michigan Department of Education
• Keywords: survival analysis ; educational accountability ; college and career ready ; student achievement and growth

Abstract

This paper demonstrates the use of joint models for longitudinal and time-to-event data to monitor student growth with regard to risk of not being college or career ready at grade 11. Recent education policies aim to help all students become college and career ready. In order to achieve that, student growth in addition to status is required to be monitored, and student achievement and growth demonstrated on summative assessments will be associated with teacher performance and evaluation. This paper is informative for next generation assessment systems, which are focused on college and career readiness in high school and staying on track in lower grade levels. The goal of decreasing the risk of not being college or career ready is an appropriate option to monitor student growth and to help forming a new framework of teacher evaluation in the near future, as it is currently the goal of K-12 education in the country.