Abstract Details
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Activity Number:
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573
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Type:
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Contributed
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Date/Time:
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Wednesday, August 6, 2014 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
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Sponsor:
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Section on Statistics in Sports
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Abstract #311431
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View Presentation
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Title:
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Beyond Runs Expectancy
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Author(s):
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Jim Albert*+
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Companies:
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Bowling Green State University
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Keywords:
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Baseball ;
Bayesian ;
Multilevel modeling ;
Sabermetrics
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Abstract:
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One important idea in sabermetrics is the runs expectancy matrix which gives the average number of runs in the remainder of the inning in 24 different runner/outs situations. However the basic runs expectancy matrix only describes the performance of an average offense against an average defense. We develop a reasonable sampling model for runs scored and illustrate efficient ways of simultaneously estimating run scoring distributions for all major league teams, and under different situations.
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Authors who are presenting talks have a * after their name.
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