Abstract Details
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Activity Number:
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417
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Type:
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Contributed
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Date/Time:
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Tuesday, August 5, 2014 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
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Sponsor:
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Section on Statistics in Sports
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Abstract #311410
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Title:
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Stochastic Model of the 2012 PGA Tour Season
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Author(s):
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Erik Heiny*+
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Companies:
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Utah Valley University
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Keywords:
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markov chain ;
PGA Tour
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Abstract:
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An absorbing Markov chain was used to model the 2012 PGA Tour Golf Season. Expected number of steps until absorption was used to establish expected scores for different locations (fairway, primary rough, green, etc.) and distances from the hole. Strokes gained analysis was then performed to evaluate the quality of each shot hit by players on the 2012 PGA Tour. Skill rankings were developed, tradeoffs between distance and accuracy were assessed, and player strategy was analyzed for playing par 5s.
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Authors who are presenting talks have a * after their name.
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