Abstract Details
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Activity Number:
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87
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Type:
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Invited
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Date/Time:
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Sunday, August 3, 2014 : 8:30 PM to 10:30 PM
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Sponsor:
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Section on Statistics and the Environment
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Abstract #311338
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Title:
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Visualizing Spatial Analysis of Tropical Cyclones and Seasonal Cyclone Forecast
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Author(s):
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Marcela Alfaro-Córdoba*+ and Joe Guinness and Montserrat Fuentes
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Companies:
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North Carolina State University and North Carolina State University and North Carolina State University
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Keywords:
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Visualization ;
Tropical Cyclones ;
Spatial-Temporal ;
Forecast
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Abstract:
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We develop animated and interactive visualization methods for facilitating the presentation of tropical cyclone tracks and the results from a proposed spatial-temporal tropical cyclone forecasting model. We analyze and present best tropical cyclone 6 hour tracks for 400 cyclones over 30 years. We forecast the probability of occurrence of a tropical cyclone at any spatial location in the Atlantic Basin as a function of sea surface temperature and latent heat flux. The goal is to introduce a powerful and interactive visualization tool and statistical framework that facilitates the exploration of the association among important covariates and forecasted probabilities across space and time.
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Authors who are presenting talks have a * after their name.
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