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Activity Number: 365
Type: Roundtables
Date/Time: Tuesday, August 5, 2014 : 12:30 PM to 1:50 PM
Sponsor: Section on Statistics and the Environment
Abstract #311129
Title: Changepoints: The Need to Homogenize Environmental Data
Author(s): Robert Lund*+
Companies: Clemson University
Keywords: Changepoints ; t-test ; CUSUM ; Breakpoints ; Homogeneity
Abstract:

This roundtable overviews changepoint issues in environmental data. Changepoints are ubiquitous features in environmental data, and can occur whenever recording stations relocate, new laws are passed, or data observers or gauges are changed. Ignoring the effects of changepoints can produce spurious conclusions. The problem is shown to occur in temperature, hurricane count, and carbon dioxide records. Some statistics are proposed to detect a single mean shift in simple settings. The need for multiple changepoints is noted, as is the role of metadata in making changepoint existence conclusions.


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