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Activity Number: 601
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Wednesday, August 7, 2013 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: Business and Economic Statistics Section
Abstract - #309120
Title: An Advanced Approach for Forecasting Export-Import Time Series Models
Author(s): Silvey Shamsi*+ and Mian Adnan and M Shamsuddin
Companies: Jahangirnagar University and Jahangirnagar University and Dhaka
Keywords: Function ; Integration
Abstract:

Forecasting annual export-import or its difference is an important issue for making national policies like future Production Policy, Trade Policy, Exchange Rate Determination, National Budget Allocation, Price Level Settlement, etc. Unfortunately the existing procedures for forecasting time series models suffer from some acute limitations. This paper presents a new method for prognosticating such time series data. A comparative study has been shown between traditional time series models and the suggested time series models for more than three decades' annual export-import of Bangladesh.


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