Abstract Details
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Activity Number:
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238
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Type:
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Topic Contributed
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Date/Time:
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Monday, August 5, 2013 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
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Sponsor:
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Section on Statistical Graphics
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| Abstract - #308834 |
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Title:
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Can You Buy a President? Politics After the Tillman Act
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Author(s):
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Eric Hare*+ and Andrea Kaplan
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Companies:
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Iowa State University and Iowa State University
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Keywords:
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election ;
spending ;
super pac ;
graphics ;
obama ;
romney
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Abstract:
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Motivated by the 2010 Citizens United ruling and the subsequent birth of "Super PACs", we retrieve independent expenditures data from the Federal Elections Commission, in conjunction with presidential polling data to analyze the 2012 presidential campaign. Using R, and several packages, we scrape data from these sources and analyze them in order to highlight interesting trends in campaign spending. Furthermore, we correlate these trends in spending over time to the changes in the polls. Ultimately, there is not a lot of evidence to support a clear and direct relationship between increases in spending and changes in public support. However, our analysis does reinforce some commonly held views of Super PAC spending habits and the candidates' geographical areas of strength and weakness.
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