Abstract Details
Activity Number:
|
496
|
Type:
|
Contributed
|
Date/Time:
|
Wednesday, August 7, 2013 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
|
Sponsor:
|
Survey Research Methods Section
|
Abstract - #308479 |
Title:
|
Comparisons of CPS Unemployment Estimates by Rotation Panel
|
Author(s):
|
Yang Cheng*+ and Michael D. Larsen and Alexander Wakim
|
Companies:
|
U.S. Census Bureau and The George Washington University and University of North Caroline
|
Keywords:
|
Current Population Survey ;
Rotation Panel Sample Design ;
Month-in-Sample ;
Rotation Bias ;
Wilcox Signed Rank Test ;
AK Composite Estimate
|
Abstract:
|
The Current Population Survey (CPS) is a monthly household survey of 72,000 households conducted by the U.S. Census Bureau for the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics to measure employment, unemployment, and other characteristics of the civilian non-institutionalized population in the United States. The CPS began in 1940 and provides data for key economic indicators. In this paper, we will study CPS rotation panel bias, investigate whether the estimates of unemployment for different Month-in-Sample (MIS) panels are statistically significant, and explore the assumptions underlying the AK composite estimate. We are particularly interested in the comparison of MIS 1 versus MIS 5 because they are based on personal interviews and are key elements in AK composite estimate. We apply a nonparametric statistical method with dependent permutations across time to real CPS data from 2006-2010.
|
Authors who are presenting talks have a * after their name.
Back to the full JSM 2013 program
|
2013 JSM Online Program Home
For information, contact jsm@amstat.org or phone (888) 231-3473.
If you have questions about the Continuing Education program, please contact the Education Department.
The views expressed here are those of the individual authors and not necessarily those of the JSM sponsors, their officers, or their staff.
Copyright © American Statistical Association.