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Activity Number: 665
Type: Invited
Date/Time: Thursday, August 8, 2013 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: Host Chapter-Montreal
Abstract - #306994
Title: Model Selection Criteria of Singular Statistical Models
Author(s): Sumio Watanabe*+
Companies: Tokyo Institute of Technology
Keywords: Singular learning theory ; Information criterion ; Algebraic geometry ; resolution of singularities ; WAIC ; WBIC
Abstract:

A lot of statistical models which contain hidden variables, hierarchical structures, and grammatical rules do not satisfy the regularity condition, hence conventional asymptotic theory does not hold. In this talk, we show that algebraic geometrical representation of the paramater space enables us to make singular asymptotic theory, resulting that universal information criteria can be derived. Information criteria, WAIC and WBIC respectively correspond to the predictive log likelihood and the log Bayes marginal likelihood, even if a true distriution is singular for and unrealizable by a statistical model.


Authors who are presenting talks have a * after their name.

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