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Abstract Details

Activity Number: 38
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Sunday, July 29, 2012 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: Business and Economic Statistics Section
Abstract - #306741
Title: Dimension Reduction on Multivariate Time Series Data
Author(s): Prabir Burman and Wolfgang Polonik and Yinhong Weng*+
Companies: University of California at Davis and University of California at Davis and
Address: 6600 Orchard Park Circle, Davis, CA, 95616, United States
Keywords: high dimensional ; time series analysis ; state-space model ; auto-regressive model
Abstract:

Work with a data set of personal quarterly income for fifty states from 1969 to 2010. Propose a novel method to use as few parameters as possible to model the income series. Estimated the stochastic trend using state-space model and the variability of the series using auto-regressive model. Large sample properties and theoretical justifications for the consistency of this method are derived.


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