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Abstract Details

Activity Number: 301
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Tuesday, July 31, 2012 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
Sponsor: IMS
Abstract - #305898
Title: Penalized Maximum Likelihood Methods in Process Estimation
Author(s): Zsolt Talata*+
Companies: University of Kansas
Address: 1460 Jayhawk Boulevard, Lawrence, KS, 66045-7523, United States
Keywords: finite memory estimator ; Markov approximation ; infinite memory ; rate of convergence ; penalized maximum likelihood ; stationary ergodic process
Abstract:

Stationary ergodic processes with finite alphabets are estimated by finite memory processes from a sample, an n-length realization of the process, where the memory depth of the estimator process is also estimated from the sample using penalized maximum likelihood (PML). Under some assumptions on the continuity rate and the assumption of non-nullness, a rate of convergence in d-bar distance is obtained, with explicit constants. The results show optimality of the PML Markov order estimator for not necessarily finite memory processes.


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