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Abstract Details
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Activity Number:
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506
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Type:
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Contributed
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Date/Time:
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Wednesday, August 1, 2012 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
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Sponsor:
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Section on Risk Analysis
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| Abstract - #305581 |
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Title:
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An Analysis of Historical Aviation Accident Data
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Author(s):
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Nastaran Coleman*+
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Companies:
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Federal Aviation Administration
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Address:
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800 Independence Ave SW, Washington, DC, 20591, United States
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Keywords:
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Analysis ;
Historical ;
Aviation ;
Accident ;
Data ;
Federal
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Abstract:
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The Federal Aviation Administration uses historical accident statistics to predict future accident rates for various scenarios, to evaluate the effects of safety programs and to identify safety risks so that returns on investments are maximized. Variables from the National Transportation Safety Board database are used to categorize aviation accidents. Total and fatal accident counts and rates are graphed. Various accident categories are identified and their shares of total and fatal accidents are presented. Using statistical techniques and historical trends, the seriousness of accidents in different categories is examined to determine the effectiveness of existing safety initiatives. Areas that need the most safety improvement are identified. The categories used include type of operations, aircraft class, phase of flight, daytime or nighttime, runway incursions and weather conditions.
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The address information is for the authors that have a + after their name.
Authors who are presenting talks have a * after their name.
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