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Abstract Details

Activity Number: 552
Type: Topic Contributed
Date/Time: Wednesday, August 1, 2012 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: Quality and Productivity Section
Abstract - #304424
Title: A QBD Case Study: Bayesian Prediction of Lyophilization Cycle Parameters
Author(s): David LeBlond*+ and Linas Mockus
Companies: Abbott and Purdue University
Address: 3091 Midlane Dr, Wadsworth, IL, 60083-9528, United States
Keywords: Bayesain ; lyophilization ; quality by design
Abstract:

As stipulated by ICH Q8 R2, prediction of critical process parameters based on process modeling is a part of enhanced, quality by design approach to product development. In this work, we discuss a Bayesian model for the prediction of primary drying phase duration. The model is based on the premise that resistance to dry layer mass transfer is product specific, and is a function of nucleation temperature. The predicted duration of primary drying was experimentally verified on the lab scale lyophilizer. It is suggested that the model be used during scale-up activities in order to minimize trial and error and reduce costs associated with expensive large scale experiments. The proposed approach extends the work of Searles et al. (J Pharm Sci. 2001;90(7):860-71.) by adding a Bayesian treatment to primary drying modeling.


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