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Abstract Details

Activity Number: 85
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Sunday, July 29, 2012 : 4:00 PM to 5:50 PM
Sponsor: Section on Statistics and the Environment
Abstract - #304122
Title: Residuals for Spatial Point Processes Based on Voronoi Tessellations
Author(s): Andrew Bray*+ and Ka Wong and Frederic Schoenberg and Christopher Barr
Companies: University of California at Los Angeles and Google and University of California at Los Angeles and Harvard University
Address: 8125 Math Science Building, Los Angeles, CA, 90095-1554, United States
Keywords: residual analysis ; space time point process ; seismology ; model evaluation ; Voronoi tessellation ; earthquakes
Abstract:

A residual analysis method for spatial point processes is proposed, where differences between the modeled conditional intensity and the observed number of points are assessed over the Voronoi cells generated by the observations. The resulting residiuals appear to be substantially less skewed and hence more stable, particularly for point processes with conditional intensities close to zero, compared to ordinary Pearson residuals and other pixel-based methods. An application to models for Southern California earthquakes is provided.


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