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Abstract Details

Activity Number: 406
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Tuesday, July 31, 2012 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: Business and Economic Statistics Section
Abstract - #304082
Title: The Quality of Seasonal Adjustment: An Empirical Comparison of Various Methods of Seasonal Adjustment
Author(s): Raj Jain*+
Companies: Bureau of Labor Statistics
Address: 7804 Muirfield Court, Potomac, MD, 20854, United States
Keywords: Intervention Adjusted Series ; Intervention and Seasonally Adjusted Series ; Trend ; Smoothness
Abstract:

Using two basic assumptions of time series analysis, a test is proposed to assess the quality of seasonal adjustment of a series. The test is applied to several seasonally adjusted series of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) using three methods of seasonal adjustment: State Space Model Based Method (SSMB), TRAMO SEATS Method and X12ARIMA method. The empirical results are presented along with comparative graphs.


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