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Abstract Details

Activity Number: 298
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Tuesday, July 31, 2012 : 8:30 AM to 10:30 AM
Sponsor: Biopharmaceutical Section
Abstract - #304026
Title: A Spline-Based Hierarchical Model for Estimating Blood Glucose Profiles from CGM Data
Author(s): Hui Zheng*+ and David A Schoenfeld
Companies: Harvard Medical School and Harvard Medical School
Address: 50 Staniford Street, Boston, MA, 02114, United States
Keywords: Spline ; Bayesian methods ; hierarchical model ; auto-correlations
Abstract:

We use spline functions to model patient blood glucose pattern as smooth varying curves from continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) data. We use Bayesian hierarchical models to describe inter-day variation in the shapes of glucose curves and to estimate a representative pattern for the patient. This model allows for auto-correlation of the glucose curve, and leads to confidence and prediction bands. The model also facilitates assessment of health risks including hyperglycemia an hypoglycemia. These methods can help physicians better understand the patient's glucose pattern and make corresponding treatment decisions.


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