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	Abstract Details
	
	
		
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						| Activity Number: | 488 |  
						| Type: | Invited |  
						| Date/Time: | Wednesday, August 1, 2012 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM |  
						| Sponsor: | SPAIG Committee |  
						| Abstract - #303901 |  
						| Title: | Methodological Aspects of Pre-Election Polling |  
					| Author(s): | Michael W. Traugott*+ |  
					| Companies: | University of Michigan |  
					| Address: | 426 Thompson St., Ann Arbor, MI, 48106-1248, |  
					| Keywords: |  |  
					| Abstract: | 
							While the accuracy of pre-election polls in the general election has been steadily improving, there have been recent problems with pre-election polls in primaries and caucuses in the United States and in sub-national elections in a number of other countries. This paper will describe recent experiences with pre-election in a comparative context and discuss the range of sources for these problems, including sampling, interviewing, and likely voter model issues.   
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