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Abstract Details
Activity Number:
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488
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Type:
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Invited
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Date/Time:
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Wednesday, August 1, 2012 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
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Sponsor:
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SPAIG Committee
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Abstract - #303901 |
Title:
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Methodological Aspects of Pre-Election Polling
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Author(s):
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Michael W. Traugott*+
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Companies:
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University of Michigan
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Address:
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426 Thompson St., Ann Arbor, MI, 48106-1248,
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Keywords:
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Abstract:
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While the accuracy of pre-election polls in the general election has been steadily improving, there have been recent problems with pre-election polls in primaries and caucuses in the United States and in sub-national elections in a number of other countries. This paper will describe recent experiences with pre-election in a comparative context and discuss the range of sources for these problems, including sampling, interviewing, and likely voter model issues.
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