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Abstract Details

Activity Number: 269
Type: Invited
Date/Time: Tuesday, July 31, 2012 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
Sponsor: JBES-Journal of Business & Economic Statistics
Abstract - #303486
Title: Robust and Sparse Factor Modeling
Author(s): Christophe Croux and Peter Exterkate*+
Companies: CREATES - Aarhus University and K. U. Leuven
Address: Department of Economics and Business, Aarhus C, 8000, Denmark
Keywords: dimension reduction ; forecasting ; outliers ; regularization ; sparsity
Abstract:

Factor construction methods are widely used to summarize a large panel of variables by means of a relatively small number of representative factors. We propose a novel factor construction procedure that enjoys the properties of robustness to outliers and of sparsity; that is, having relatively few nonzero factor loadings. Compared to the traditional factor construction method, we find that this procedure leads to a favorable forecasting performance in the presence of outliers and to better interpretable factors. We investigate the performance of the method in a Monte Carlo experiment and in an empirical application to a large data set from macroeconomics.


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