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Abstract Details
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Activity Number:
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624
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Type:
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Contributed
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Date/Time:
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Thursday, August 4, 2011 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
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Sponsor:
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Section on Statistics in Sports
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| Abstract - #303392 |
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Title:
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Is There an Off-Week Advantage in College Football?
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Author(s):
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Eric Howington*+
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Companies:
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Valdosta State University
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Address:
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1500 N. Patterson St., Valdosta, GA, 31698-0076,
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Keywords:
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college football ;
off week advantage ;
team ratings
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Abstract:
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During the 2010 college football season, Alabama faced 6 consecutive Southeastern Conference (SEC) opponents who had byes the week before their match-up with the Crimson Tide. Journalists speculated that these opponents would have an advantage due to the extra time for preparation, rest and recovery. The SEC responded to the issue by passing a new rule limiting teams to three conference opponents coming off bye weeks. Was this rule change necessary? If there is an off-week advantage, what is its estimated magnitude? This paper presents an exploratory analysis of data from the 2010 college football season. A least squares model is used to estimate ratings of team strength for each FBS college football team. The model also allows for estimation of the magnitude of the home-field advantage. The model is modified to estimate the magnitude of the off-week advantage under several scenarios. All of the scenarios considered agree that the off-week advantage is actually a disadvantage.
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Authors who are presenting talks have a * after their name.
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