JSM 2011 Online Program

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Abstract Details

Activity Number: 295
Type: Topic Contributed
Date/Time: Tuesday, August 2, 2011 : 8:30 AM to 10:20 AM
Sponsor: Section on Bayesian Statistical Science
Abstract - #302725
Title: On Bayesian Inference and Prediction for Computer Software
Author(s): Nuria Torrado*+ and Rosa E. Lillo and Michael P. Wiper
Companies: Universidad Carlos III and Universidad Carlos III and Universidad Carlos III
Address: Calle Madrid, 126, Madrid, 28903 , Spain
Keywords: Bayesian analysis ; software reliability ; nonhomogeneous Poisson processes
Abstract:

The main purposes of this talk is to describe statistical inference and prediction for software reliability models in the presence of covariate information. In particular, we develop a semi-parametric, Bayesian model to estimate the numbers of software failures over various time periods when it is assumed that the software is changed after each time period. Goodness-of-fit testing of the model are developed using a deviance information criterion, and predictive inferences on future failures are shown. Real life examples are presented to illustrate the new model.


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