JSM 2011 Online Program

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Abstract Details

Activity Number: 345
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Tuesday, August 2, 2011 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: Section on Bayesian Statistical Science
Abstract - #302442
Title: A Bayesian Approach to Detection of Small Low-Emission Sources
Author(s): Xiaolei Xun*+ and Bani Mallick and Raymond James Carroll and Peter Kuchment
Companies: Texas A & M University and Texas A & M University and Texas A & M University and Texas A & M University
Address: , , ,
Keywords: Bayes factor ; Model selection ; Parallel tempering ; Radiation source detection ; Tomography
Abstract:

The article addresses the problem of detecting presence and location of a small low emission source inside of an object, when the background noise dominates. This problem arises, for instance, in some homeland security applications. The goal is to reach the signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) levels on the order of 0.001. A Bayesian approach to this problem is implemented in 2D. The method allows inference not only about the existence of the source, but also about its location. We derive Bayes factors for model selection and estimation of location based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo simulation. A simulation study shows that with sufficiently high total emission level, our method can effectively locate the source.


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