JSM 2011 Online Program

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Abstract Details

Activity Number: 27
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Sunday, July 31, 2011 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: Biometrics Section
Abstract - #302387
Title: Variability as a Predictor of Dementia
Author(s): Michael R. Elliott*+ and Mary Sammel and Jessica Faul
Companies: University of Michigan and University of Pennsylvania and University of Michigan
Address: M4124 SPHII, Ann Arbor, MI, 48109, USA
Keywords: Differential measurement error ; Markov Chain Monte Carlo ; Total recall ; Dementia ; Health and Retirement Survey
Abstract:

Means or other central tendency measures are by far the most common focus of statistical analyses. However, as Carroll (2003) noted, ``systematic dependence of variability on known factors'' may be ``fundamental to the proper solution of scientific problems'' in certain settings. We develop a method for combining information from mean profiles and residual variance to predict categorical outcomes in a joint hierarchical modeling framework. We consider an application to prediction of dementia onset using word recall measures obtained over time from the Health and Retirement Survey.


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