JSM 2011 Online Program

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Abstract Details

Activity Number: 589
Type: Contributed
Date/Time: Wednesday, August 3, 2011 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: Section on Statistics in Epidemiology
Abstract - #302320
Title: A Modeling Strategy for Future Survival Days Given a Follow-Up Doubly Censored Sample of Liver Cancer Patients
Author(s): Vincy Samuel*+ and Hafiz M. R. Khan
Companies: Florida International University and Florida International University
Address: Department of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, Miami, FL, 33199, USA
Keywords: Doubly censored sample ; Asymmetrical model ; Likelihood function ; Highest predictive density interval ; Bayesian method ; Predictive inference
Abstract:

This talk will focus on a novel application of Bayesian method to estimate future survival days given a set of doubly censored survival days of liver cancer patients. The derivation of predictive densities for future survival days from an asymmetrical model with a Bayesian frame-work will be discussed. A real data example of hepatocellular carcinoma of liver cancer patients who were diagnosed at a local hospital is used to illustrate the predictive results. Furthermore, subgroup levels of the male and female patients' follow-up survival days are considered to obtain the future survival days. The mean, standard deviation, and 95% highest predictive density interval of the future survival days are obtained by making use of the Bayesian method.


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