JSM 2011 Online Program

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Abstract Details

Activity Number: 530
Type: Roundtables
Date/Time: Wednesday, August 3, 2011 : 12:30 PM to 1:50 PM
Sponsor: Section on Health Policy Statistics
Abstract - #301220
Title: Calibrated Bayes, Models, and the Role of Randomization in Surveys and Experiments
Author(s): Rod Little*+
Companies: University of Michigan
Address: 1415 Washington Heights , Ann Arbor, MI, 48109, USA
Keywords: statistical inference ; likelihood principle ; randomization
Abstract:

The calibrated Bayes approach to statistical inference is Bayesian for the inference, but seeks models that yield inferences that are calibrated, in the sense of having good repeated-sampling properties. The Bayesian approach to inference was historically regarded as not supporting randomization for sample selection or treatment allocation, since the randomization distribution is not the basis for inference. I discuss why randomization is important to me as a calibrated Bayesian, and provide some supporting examples


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