JSM 2011 Online Program

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Abstract Details

Activity Number: 323
Type: Invited
Date/Time: Tuesday, August 2, 2011 : 10:30 AM to 12:20 PM
Sponsor: Section on Statistics and the Environment
Abstract - #300381
Title: The Use of Sequential Methods to Assess Trend in Florida Black Bear Populations
Author(s): Linda J. Young*+ and Erin Leone and Brian Scheick
Companies: University of Florida and Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission and Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission
Address: Dept. of Statistics; IFAS, Gainesville, FL, 32606,
Keywords: SPRT ; Sequential ; 2-SPRT ; spatial correlation
Abstract:

The Florida black bear subspecies (Ursus americanus floridanus) is listed as a threatened species by the state of Florida. The black bear population is monitored within the state and any trend in population size is of great interest. Because black bears are shy and secretive, direct observation is not possible, and hair traps are used to determine the presence or absence of a bear at a sampling location. Building on the work of Schipper and Meelis (1997 JABES; 2003 JABES), sequential tests for a trend in the black bear population size are compared and conducted. The impact of spatial and serial correlation is discussed.


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