JSM 2011 Online Program

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Abstract Details

Activity Number: 385
Type: Invited
Date/Time: Tuesday, August 2, 2011 : 2:00 PM to 3:50 PM
Sponsor: Section for Statistical Programmers and Analysts
Abstract - #300214
Title: Predictive Modeling in Home Health Care
Author(s): Iordan Slavov*+
Companies: Visiting Nurse Service of New York
Address: 1250 Broadway, 20th floor, New York, NY, 10001,
Keywords:
Abstract:

There were significant changes lately in the ways available data are used in Home Health Care. Big companies such as the Visiting Nurse Service of NY (VNSNY) seek full utilization of their data through predictive modeling and other advanced statistical analyses. I'll discuss types of predictive models (prognostic vs. diagnostic) being built to support operations and the underlying methodology (regressions, classifications, clusters, survival analysis, etc.). Special attention will be given to service utilization models. The corresponding software skills and ways to access data and statistical knowledge will be examined. The importance given to research and analytics at VNSNY led to the formation of the Center for Home Care Policy & Research more than 15 years ago. Light will be shed on the center's position in the field of Home Care and my role as Senior Statistical Analyst there in order to benefit future professional trajectories.


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